Trump leads Republicans by 20 points in SC

Sen Marco Rubio of Florida’s support stands at 9 per cent, with the rest of the candidates at 4 per cent or less.

Trump’s campaign has been a freaky and unhealthy sideshow, and his recent comments on banning Muslims from entering the country was, for many, the straw that broke the camel’s back. Data collection was conducted on behalf of CBS News and the New York Times by SSRS of Media, PA. Phone numbers were dialed from samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The New Hampshire primary is February 9.

Jeb Bush has support of 3-percent of GOP voters, his lowest percentage in any CBS News polling.

“The campaign seems to be between Trump, Cruz, and Rubio”, said Carroll University’s Lilly Goren. Among the 1,275 adults who took the poll, 431 were Republican primary voters and 384 were Democratic primary voters.

There are lots of voters who can be persuaded.

In a head-to-head match-up, 42% of GOP primary voters say Donald Trump is the Republican candidate most likely to beat Hillary Clinton in the general election next year.

Cruz is also performing strongly among evangelical voters, who tend to make up roughly half of the Iowa GOP caucus electorate. CNN’s decision depends on which polls they choose for their average, of course, but right now it looks like the main debate will have at most five contestants, and Bush is a big maybe on the cusp.

Overall, 32% say they support Trump (up 6 points since September), with Rubio a distant second place with 14% (up 5 points).

Since Donald Trump is already leading the majority of polls, it will be very interesting to see who will be second in the race after 2015’s last GOP Debate.

Trailing in both the RealClearPolitics compilation, and in the Monmouth poll, is Dr. Ben Carson.

But Trump’s advantage on foreign policy and handling ISIS is larger than his edge on handling the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief. Ted Cruz takes 16% and Ben Carson follows with 14%.

While Republican voters were most likely to say they were excited (24 per cent) or optimistic (41 per cent), a full one-third of Republicans say they are concerned or scared about Mr Trump. Trump held steady with 19 percent, while Carson fell to 13 percent, dipping below Sen. Likewise, Iowa’s likely caucusgoers are more likely to think that Sanders would do the most to help the middle class (50%) than to say Clinton would (43%), a question that split national Democrats nearly evenly (47% Clinton to 44% Sanders).