Trump, Clinton still leading in new SC polls

I’ve heard some of the most prominent Republicans in Florida say they would have to think long and hard if the choice in November is Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton.

Poll director Charles Franklin says the GOP field could be in for a shake-up soon. 313 of those respondents said they were going to vote Republican; 312 indicated they would vote Democratic. Tennesseans vote on March 1 as part of a so-called “SEC Primary” that features voting in seven Southern states. In theoretical match-ups, Sanders beat Trump by 18 points, Cruz by 12 and Rubio by 11; Clinton beat Trump by 9 points but was statistically tied with Cruz and Rubio, leading both of them by just 1 percentage point. It had an nearly even split among Republican and Democratic respondents, giving it a margin of error of +/- 6.5 percent.

Trump’s warnings about Cruz’s birth in Canada have failed to resonate, with only 19% concluding that Cruz is not a “natural born citizen”. A respective 10 percent, meanwhile, said they would instead back Clinton and Bloomberg.

Many Republicans complained that Mr. Perot’s entry into the 1992 race hurt their candidate more than the Democrat, Mr. Clinton, but it is less clear what would happen with Mr. Bloomberg.

The poll also looked at Wisconsin’s concealed carry gun law and found that support for it has increased greatly since it was enacted in 2012.

It’s actually easy to do, especially after chatting with some of the thoughtful people standing in line Thursday night at Drake University to see Trump, 69, headline his own rally rather than attend a Fox News debate. Fifty percent of Tennessee voters – majority Republicans – named her as the candidate they’d least like to see win the presidency. In November, Clinton was at 50 percent and Sanders at 41.

“It’s hovered in the 30s and 40 percent who say they don’t know enough to have an opinion about him”. It has a credibility interval, a measure of the poll’s accuracy, of about 3 percentage points. One in three voters said he is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as governor, down from 36 percent in October and 39 percent in August.

Cruz had the biggest gain, jumping 7 points over the last poll to 16 percent, while Carson plummeted from first place in November with 22 percent down to 8 percent this time.