Trump, Sanders lead race in New Hampshire poll

The caucuses are held in 10 U.S. states (out of 50) – Iowa, Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, Kansas, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota and Wyoming.

Mr O’Malley is “a personable and reasonable liberal who seems more suited for the job he has already had – governor of Maryland and mayor of Baltimore – than for president”, said the newspaper.

“Right now, this is all about turnout, this is all about who shows up tomorrow night at 7 pm”, Cruz added. Rand Paul is casting him as a calculating operator masquerading as a conservative purist.

So, what then happens to his supporters if he doesn’t establish viability? President Obama’s former senior strategist, David Axelrod, wrote a mea culpa in the New York Times last week explaining why he didn’t see the rise of Mr. Trump.

The Vermont senator and Democratic socialist said “the eyes of America, in fact much of the world” would be on Iowa, and the state could be a model for the nation and the future of American democracy.

After a year in which voter anger and dissatisfaction with Washington have propelled insurgent candidates and shaped the political terrain, Iowa voters will offer the first clues as to whether what has taken place up to now was an aberration or a new normal in American politics that will continue to course through the election battles until November.In the Democratic race, Hillary Clinton is trying to fend off an unexpectedly strong challenge from Sen. But there are limits to that support.

The Iowa poll was conducted January 26-29 based on telephone interviews with 602 registered voters who say they definitely or probably will attend the 2016 Republican caucuses, and 602 registered voters who say they will definitely or probably attend the Demcoratic caucuses. “We’re 36 hours away from the Iowa caucuses and we’re in a statistical dead heat for first place”.

If the bad weather hits, experts say, candidates with better-organized ground campaigns or with more passionate supporters stand a better chance. It’s just one state, after all, and it’s really not representative of the country – it’s more conservative and largely white. Shes put together a terrific organization; shes done everything she could do, ” Miller said. It has launched a “Go home for Bernie” initiative to drive students back to their hometowns to caucus for Sanders.

It’s not clear how effective that might be. Cruz chugged across the state on a mission to visit all 99 counties before Monday’s caucuses. That could blunt whatever impact there is on Sanders. Remember past victors Mike Huckabee or Rick Santorum?

Key policies: Restrict political spending by the wealthy; create single-payer health care system (like Canada has); make public universities and colleges tuition-free. The results in Monday’s GOP caucus will now be tied to delegate counts. In addition, both parties have moved to try to stanch questions about participation, which is typically low. In the Republican caucus, Trump leads Texas Sen.

The poll is the last to be released by the newspaper before the Iowa caucuses begin Monday.

Campaigns have spent millions of dollars here.

“And all this is poured into a vessel that is volunteer-built and volunteer-maintained”, Meyer said. And in an era of social media, flaws can be magnified.

“I’m going to (hockey) practice and there’s police cars around the rink, ” he said. I still think Rubio has a shot at that role, but some of the others have to bow out to help test that hypothesis and Rubio himself has to do well in NH.

Winnowing? The biggest question to me is: who quits and when? At rallies, he argues big Wall Street banks were responsible for the economic meltdown in 2008 and 2009 and must be broken up because they have grown larger after the federal government bailed out the financial sector. Clinton is ahead among those who will definitely participate in the caucus, while Sanders is ahead among those who will probably caucus.

Cruz, fighting to retake his December lead in Iowa, took a swipe at Rubio, saying he campaigned for the U.S. Senate in 2010 by opposing amnesty for immigrants living in the country illegally, but then flipped his position after being elected. But where the number does fall is a bit of a guessing game – more hunch than science – for outsiders.

Mary Campbell had been working her heart out for Clinton earlier in the day, knocking on doors to get people to caucus February 1.

In 1996, Bob Dole won Iowa, but Pat Buchanan ran a strong second – stronger than expected – so he got a bounce out of Iowa and ended up winning New Hampshire, too, although not the nomination. The milder-than-normal weather forecast could play a role.