Donald Trump inches ahead in North Carolina

A new poll shows Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in a two-way race in New Mexico, but the former Secretary of State edges Trump in the state when third-party candidates are included. In this sample, 12.8 percent don’t know or are undecided.

In 2012, Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by 16 points.

Republicans, too, have questioned Trump’s capacity to serve as commander in chief. The lone exception: George W. Bush during his re-election campaign in 2004, when 52% thought he would outperform John Kerry before their first debate.

Voters younger than 45 give Mrs Clinton an edge (54 per cent to 29 per cent for Mr Trump), while non-whites favour Clinton by nearly four-to-one, poll results showed.

On Wednesday evening, both Trump and Clinton will appear at a forum on national security. Candidates like Donald Trump are the ones who need superior data and get out the vote operations to win on Election Day, but Trump has turned his nose up at both. The margins of error for 761 likely voters in Florida and 751 in North Carolina were 3.6 percentage points; and for 775 likely voters in OH and 778 in Pennsylvania had margins of error of 3.5 percentage points. White voters back Trump 59-36 percent, as nonwhite voters go to Clinton 67-25 percent.

On the same day the generals pledged support for Trump, Clinton released a campaign ad that shows veterans watching clips of some of Trump’s most controversial comments on military strategy and people who serve.

Greeting reporters traveling aboard her campaign plane before takeoff, Clinton said, “Welcome to our big plane!”

Women support Clinton by 15 points – 53 percent to 38 percent – while men back Trump by 22 points – 54 percent to 32 percent.

She said Russian President Vladimir Putin appears “quite satisfied with himself” and said Trump “has generally parroted what is a Putin-Kremlin line”. Political independents tilt toward seeing Trump’s tactics as a necessary shake-up, 52% to the 47% who see his style as unnecessarily risky.

With the election less than two months away some pundits have been indicating that the election all but belongs to Hillary Clinton. In March 2015, when news of the server first broke, 52% said it was not indicative of her character.

The poll looked at the race as a two-way and four-way race, including the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.

Trump promoted the letter as he campaigned in Virginia and North Carolina on Tuesday, suggesting that he would rely on the generals to make up for his own lack of national security inexperience to take on the Islamic State group.

The CNN/ORC Poll was conducted by phone from September 1-4, surveying 1,001 adults with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, including 886 registered voters and 786 likely voters. In part that’s because some, like Reuters/Ipsos, have attempted to measure the preferences of who’s likely to vote, while others have surveyed the larger pool of all registered voters. The survey had a margin of error of 3.6 percent.