Quinnipiac Poll: Clinton Leading Presidential Race in North Carolina

The poll, the first CNN/ORC survey in which Trump leads Clinton, also found a staggering 15-point lead for Trump over Hillary Clinton on the issue of trustworthiness (50 percent to 35 percent).

If third party candidates are included, Gary Johnson polls at 10 percent in SC and Jill Stein has the support of 3 percent. Undecided voters made up the remaining 8 percent. A CNN/ORC poll this week found Trump near even with Clinton among likely voters nationwide. Only 37% of North Carolina voters said they have a favorable opinion of Clinton, while a majority – 55% – said they have an unfavorable opinion.

Clinton was leading in Pennsylvania, 48 percent to 43 percent, down from her 10-point advantage last month, 52 percent to 42 percent. That lead remains in a four-way race with Clinton at 44 percent support, Trump at 39 percent.

Voters under 45 overwhelmingly favour Ms Clinton – 54 percent to 29 – while those numbers are pretty much reversed for older voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

To say the result is surprising is an understatement.

So, as Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight often stresses, averaging the poll results generally gives a better, more accurate result.

There are three new presidential election polls out Tuesday morning. Just 34% of those polled believed that Trump will win the presidency. “Republicans are excited about the prospect of electing them to the White House”. Both Brown and Pierce appear to be more popular with OR voters than the presidential candidates for their respective parties. Third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein garner a combined 9 percent. Because she’s trying to reach a national audience, perhaps, particularly after Trump’s recent attempts to bring African American voters into his column.

Clinton holds five-point lead in constant battleground OH, where Trump campaigns today, with a roundtable and a speech on education in Cleveland.

Less than a month ago, Donald Trump trailed Hillary Clinton by double-digits. Trump had a 17-point lead over Clinton among male voters and a 7-point lead among female voters.

Of registered voters in North Carolina, 40 percent are Democrats, while Republicans and independents make up 30 percent each.

Two months before the November 8 election, Clinton seems to have lost a portion of the comfortable advantage she had enjoyed in key states and on the national level, but she remains out front in the prospective electoral vote count.