Ohio poll: Clinton and Trump locked in tight race
Those polled who attend church, 60 percent, at least once week said they intend to vote for Trump. The FiveThirtyEight “nowcast”, which is based on the most recent polling, actually has Clinton a slight favorite to win, although the longer-view “polls-plus” forecast still gives Trump a better than 60 percent chance.
Dr. Jason Reineke, the associate director of the poll, said on the poll’s website, “Despite a lot of speculation about party defections from unpopular candidates following divisive primaries, only small minorities of voters report that they are voting for someone other than their party’s nominee in the general after voting for a primary rival”.
Hispanics favor the former secretary of State over Trump by 38 points in Nevada, 14 points in Arizona and 23 points in Florida. Clinton has created multiple TV ads using Trump’s own words, including one that features soundbites of the mogul referring to one woman as “a fat slob” and remarking that “A person who’s flat-chested is very hard for them to be a 10”. Overall, sixty-one percent say the Republican nominee should release his tax returns. Trump was seen favorably by 30 percent and unfavorably by 57 percent. This week, the libertarian’s own running mate all but endorsed Hillary Clinton.
Clinton is faltering a bit where President Barack Obama was strong. “One week Trump is up, one week Clinton is up – next week you have no idea who is going to have the momentum”.
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton.
Despite the mounting headaches, Mr. Trump sounded an optimistic note in Colorado, telling his supporters that his business record – including his tax history – shows that he thrives under pressure and is ready to steer the nation toward more prosperous times.
Unless he cheated, Trump was just doing what millions of Americans do every year: paying as little tax as possible. Among those who identify with the Tea Party, 73 percent back Trump.
Clinton is regarded unfavorably by 54 percent of the electorate; Trump, by 60 percent.
No Republican presidential candidate has won an election without OH, and, given its oft-referenced diversity, it is also seen as something of a barometer for how the rest of the country will vote. Just over half say Clinton does, half say Trump does not. After all, there has never been a woman president.
Of course, as in so many poll questions this year, candidate evaluations often reflect vote choice.
The poll from Emerson College shows that Clinton has overtaken Trump in our state by a margin of 44 percent to 42 percent.
In this poll, Clinton outscored Trump with viewers in last week’s debate by a 34-point margin. That’s a slightly larger than the margin recorded in the YouGov poll conducted the day after the debate.
Consequently, the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center found that the greatest benefits of Trump’s tax plan would flow to the wealthiest taxpayers. That’s a two-point edge among likely voters for Clinton.
Mrs. Clinton’s tax increases, in combination with tax breaks for parents, caregivers and people with out-of-pocket health care costs, would make the US even more reliant on high-income taxpayers than it is now.