This time, there really is a Hispanic voter surge

In order to win the election, Donald Trump must win Florida. Whether Trump’s core constituency of white, less-educated voters, mostly male, will stir themselves to turnout in even bigger numbers could decide the fate of the elections. They care about the same things; education jobs, healthcare.

Early and absentee voting trends in Nevada (nine delegates) offer a similar rise in Latino votes and in favour of Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Now a stunning 82 percent says Trump makes them fear for the future of their family and the country.

As speakers blared gospel and R&B music, a line formed near a smoky barbecue pit and several young boys jousted with inflatable swords on the grassy lawn behind her. “Basically, one in five blacks and one in three Hispanics didn’t vote in 2012 in Miami-Dade and have already case a ballot”, said Smith.

Trump’s criticism of Latino immigrants as “rapists” and criminals set a tone when he launched his campaign, amplified by his proposals to deport those in the U.S. illegally and to build a wall along the border with Mexico. The Miami Herald reports that 565,000 Hispanics turned out in Florida on Saturday for early voting, which is a 100 percent surge over the 2012 election cycle, according to an analysis conducted by a science professor at the University of Florida. Catalist’s voter list connects returned ballots with demographic and registration information, such as party registration, gender and age, and allows a closer look at who has already cast a vote.

It showed 67 per cent of Hispanics preferred Ms Clinton as president, with Mr Trump at just 19 per cent. The almost complete numbers for in-person voting in Florida give Democrats a narrow lead, as is also the case with returned absentee ballots (which will continue to drift in until the close of voting tomorrow; they must be received by then).

Which leads us to the matter of which candidate will Hispanic voters choose? He said Reno and northern Nevada could “carry us all the way to Washington”. “We have to bring people together, listen and respect each other”, said Clinton at a rally in Pittsburgh. The geographic distribution of Hispanic voters means that many of her gains will help her in noncompetitive states like Texas and California, not MI and Pennsylvania. “Now there is confusion”. Once all the votes are counted, the number is expected to pass the 2012 election, in which more than 46 million voted before Election Day. Historically, however, Hispanic voter turnout has been low compared to white or black voter turnout.

But that changed, after Mr Obama made a series of appeals for black voters to support Mrs Clinton, and Mrs Clinton herself appeared at a campaign event with Beyonce and Jay-Z.

“The story of this election may be the mobilisation of the Hispanic vote”, said Sen. Early votes from Hispanics came in record-breaking numbers that day. Some analysts say it is possible that Latino early voting will draw from Election Day turnout rates. While those older than 60 remain Republican and will certainly vote for Trump, the younger generation favors Obama’s steps to end of the embargo against Cuba, and a lot of them will vote for the Democratic Party.

“The reason we partner with churches and people of faith is because they have such belief in their community”.