Can you guess the Best Picture winner from its final line?

But not this year.

In past years, before I got old and crotchety, I would see most of the nominated movies.

But the Academy is known to be quite sentimental as well, and there are two big mainstream directors here this year who’ll probably not have a better chance again to get nominated (and win), simply by virtue of them normally operating within the more commercial and genre-friendly areas of Hollywood.

She had no idea she’d revealed her undergarment (or more) and made a viral splash until her phone started blowing up during the Oscars ceremony.

For best actor, Gary Oldman is one of the surest bets of the night for his acclaimed performance as Churchill in “Darkest Hour”. The race for best picture seems to have boiled down to these two very different films.

But in the night’s top category, chaos reigns. Almost half say they patronize movies in theaters “hardly ever” or “never”. In addition, the Academy show page on Facebook Watch will share special Oscars Insider content throughout the week. But under the surface, everything is shifting. His reasoning? “I love World War II movies!” This year, that means appealing to viewers who are mostly into the show for the famous people, to engaged entertainment consumers who care a lot about representation and diversity, and to advocates who are watching the industry’s response to sexual harassment allegations.

This year, though, the winning films may take a backseat to Hollywood politics.

“Dunkirk” has eight total nominations, followed by “Three Billboards” with seven and “Darkest Hour” and “Phantom Thread” with six each.

On Facebook, fans can immerse deeper into conversation around the Oscars on the Academy’s official Facebook Group – Oscars Movie Club – throughout the night. You get experience when you do something like this. Yet it lacks a crucial ingredient. He received high marks for his freshman hosting effort a year ago, highlighted by his casual handling of the end-of- ceremony flub that saw presenters Warren Beatty and Faye Dunaway announcing “La La Land” as the victor of the best picture Oscar, when the prize actually went to “Moonlight”.

Let’s do some number-crunching: from 1928 to 2015, women who took home an Oscar for the “Best Actress” category were 98.8% white.

One of the most acclaimed performers of his generation, the British-Irish method actor, 60, announced he would “no longer be acting” after reuniting with There Will Be Blood director Paul Thomas Anderson for the story about fashion in 1950s London.

But the underdogs are no more statistically sound.

So with a pack of flawed favorites, what’s an Oscar prognosticator to do?

Should there be a lull during your Oscar soiree – or if you just enjoy talking to yourself – feel free to toss out these trivial Oscar bon mots. “Put it all in there, don’t lean too heavily on there not being a SAG nomination there, a director nomination there”. He was shocked when it happened, and said as much onstage: “I’m a God-fearing man, I’m supposed to have faith; but I didn’t have faith. These stats are there until they’re not there”. Peele and Gerwig are also nominated for original screenplay, while del Toro is nominated along with Vanessa Taylor for “The Shape of Water”. I think it doesn’t quite accomplish what it says it sets out to do. “I wouldn’t be shocked if it lost, though”. Last year, he had to step in and handle a mix-up when the Best Picture trophy initially went to the wrong nominee and this year he has to keep things entertaining without being divisive.

“What it’s really going to come down to is: What is the least objectionable of the plausible winners?” says Feinberg.

“But we’re trying to make it more planned than spur of the moment. Don’t write us off”‘.

That falls more in line with Kimmel’s brand of comedy. It’s like Steven Spielberg cloning himself and directing a movie.

Although “Get Out” is my favorite of the Oscar-nominated films, I can not ignore just how attractive of a movie “The Shape of Water” is.

It’s always risky laying your reputation on the line with Oscar picks, but I eat danger for breakfast. “It really upended the Oscars”.

Vox: ‘Get Out’ Was 2017’s Most Biting Social Critique.

But Martin McDonagh’s “Three Billboards”, an early favorite in the prestigious best picture race, has weathered a backlash against its treatment of race issues to launch a late assault on the statuette.

The DGA win makes del Toro a front-runner for best director for “The Shape of Water”. “I don’t concern myself with those sorts of things”, except on Jimmy Kimmel Live, he says. “But people are weirded out by it”.