All eyes on Tropical Storm Joaquin

The forecast for Joaquin is highly uncertain at the moment, thanks to difficulties the weather models are having in dealing with the evolution of other weather disturbances that will likely affect the storm.

Joaquin is the 10th storm of the current Atlantic hurricane season, which began in June and ends in November.

“Needless to say, confidence in the details of the track forecast, especially beyond 48 hours, is extremely low”, Michael Brennan, a senior hurricane specialist at the center, wrote in an analysis.

“Areas from central Pennsylvania into northern New England could see over 3 inches of rain, mainly over the higher terrain”, said AccuWeather Meteorologist Brett Rathbun. Forecasters expect to downgrade the depression to a post-tropical remnant low later Monday.

Upper level winds may become slightly more conducive for a few slow development of this system over the next couple of days as the storm moves north, with a forecast to turn more northeastward toward Florida’s Panhandle. Stay tuned. To follow the storm, visit the National Hurricane Center. Additional rounds of heavy rainfall are possible later this week and this weekend. Gusts to 35-40 miles per hour are expected and could increase if Joaquin is able to intensify and hold together.

Later Tuesday night and for most of the day Wednesday there will be tremendous amounts of rain across the state.

The first batch of rain is Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Alongside, the recent full “supermoon” is causing minor flooding in low-lying areas and coastal spots during each high tide. Forecasters also warned of significant coastal flooding.

A cold front is moving at us from the mid-west.

Winds: Northeast winds will develop and intensify later this week.

There are signs the chance for off and on showers could continue all the way through the start of the weekend.