DEVELOPING: Possible tropical storm brewing in the Gulf of Mexico
But this isn’t necessarily all bad news – Orlando actually needed a bit of moisture. This will help bring in higher rain chances to the area.
Aside from January and the first few days in February, there hasn’t been any significant rainfall (rainfall averaging at or above 0.5 cm) at all this year for the Sunshine State.
Invest 90L has a 30% chance of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours and a 40% chance within the next 5 days.
All that being said, it looks like the current mess in the eastern Gulf may not have the opportunity to earn a number (become a tropical depression) or a name (become a tropical storm).
At this time, the heaviest rainfall of three to five inches or more is expected to remain well to our east over Florida.
With the Atlantic Hurricane Season only a few weeks away, keep in mind to start preparing for a tropical threat just in case we do have a tropical threat this year!
The system has already impacted South Florida, according to Dr. Jeff Masters, who co-founded Weather Underground in 1995. “If there are flash flood watches or warnings, that’s an indication that the risk is specific to where you live”, he said.
Our computer guidance shows the potential for this system to move up the eastern seaboard by late Friday into the weekend.
“Irma produced quite a bit of rain, but then we ended up very dry”, Pasch said.
Florida is likely to catch the brunt of the system’s rain through Monday, before spreading over the rest of the Southeast on Tuesday and Wednesday, while continuing to rain in Florida. It’s important to classify these systems because its “tropical” title can determine if it’ll potentially rapidly intensify into a monster wind-maker, or if it remains non-tropical, represent more of a rain threat.