Donald Trump has a 20 Point Lead Nationally
It’s December, notes Philip Klein, and this guy’s now fully 20 points ahead nationally.
Trump has drawn strong criticism and disbelief from legal experts for saying last month that he would require American Muslims to register in a database in response to the Paris terrorist attacks. Most voters haven’t made up their minds yet, a phenomenon few of those horse race polls take the time to point out.
In the foreign policy category, it’s closer, with Trump getting the nod from 30 percent and Cruz only 13 points behind.
That also means there’s no need to worry too much about a Trump presidency – yet. Realistically, no one’s going to cut deeply into his hold on blue-collar voters. Now, however, he’s losing the evangelical demographic to Trump and Cruz and he has no other constituency to rely on.
According to the most recent poll from CNN, Trump is beating his nearest competitor, Texas Sen.
On immigration, an issue that has been a focal point of Trump’s campaign, most Americans say the government should not attempt to deport all people living in the country illegally (63%), and even more say such a mass deportation wouldn’t be possible (81%).
Here’s some good news for Donald Trump fans: History is now on his side.
Conservative Washington Post columnist Jennifer Rubin called Trump’s remark about money “cringe-worthy” while writing that the event “showed his potential vulnerability when cornered on serious issues”.
Republicans also have had to adjust their message.
Trump grabbed 36 percent of the vote, up 9 percentage points from mid-October.
While some of this may be true, there is another reason for Trump’s rise: a bad polling practice. Rubio, the hawkiest hawk in the top tier, is in single digits.
“I don’t think he was doing that”. Even more might turn out for Sanders in this year than had turned out for Obama. Are Donald Trump supporters “dumber” than average. “This is exactly why Trump is what I like to call a brilliant idiot”.
Bottom line: Predictions that Trump’s support would wane by now are proving wrong, and the changes for several low-performing candidates who were once thought to be serious contenders now appear to be flickering faintly.
The dream scenario for Republicans skeptical about Trump is that he brings new people to the polls who ultimately rally to another nominee. Later in the speech, he asked, “Is there anyone in this room who doesn’t negotiate deals?” The Jacksonians are united behind one candidate. If for no other reason, someone else must be nominated to maximize the party’s chances against Hillary.
“I’m going to talk about this on a regular basis”.
Jeb Bush is at three percent now, by the way. Thirty-seven percent, meanwhile, told pollsters that they believed that the billionaire businessman could best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief.
The primary benefactor of the Republican Jewish Coalition is casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, who spent more on the 2012 federal elections than any other donor.
Update: Did CNN prime this poll to favor Trump?
The poll included 445 Republican or Republican-leaning voters, and was conducted November 27-Dec. 1.