A Biden candidacy this time would likely draw some minority voters away from Clinton, making it a tighter race with her closest rival now, Bernie Sanders, who isn’t really a Democrat. Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson has climbed into a virtual tie with real-estate magnate Donald Trump.
Florida is also viewed as a must-win in the general election because its 29 electoral votes are the most among key swing states. For Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina, their support is nearly equal across education levels.
Carson is now, nationally at least, in a dead heat with Trump among Republican voters.
Likewise, Fiorina’s star continues to rise in terms of her favorability ratings, which have gone up from 13 percent in May to 38 percent in the new poll.
Steve Pope/Getty Images Donald Trump admitted that some comments aimed at his GOP competitors have been ‘a little childish’. It added that Biden’s popularity could stem from the simple reason that he remains undecided whether to enter the race, and the partly due to the tragedy he recently experienced.
If Trump breaks further, the Republican Party risks falling into the same flavor-of-the-month infighting that marked the 2012 primaries, when a series of candidates from Newt Gingrich to former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain each briefly seized front-runner status. Bush dropped from 14 percent in the July survey to 7 percent in the September poll.
Hillary Rodham Clinton says Jeb Bush’s suggestion that Democrats offer “free stuff” to appeal to minority voters is “deeply insulting”.
Sanders strong support in New Hampshire, along with leads in the polls in Iowa, has the campaign looking forward to the host of states holding March 1 primaries on Super Tuesday, VPRs Bob Kinzel reported last week. In contrast, Biden would take most of the air out of Hillary’s base of support, whose backing declines to 42% if Biden were running, giving her just a seven point lead over Sanders.
The number of voters who have a positive opinion of Carson is up 20 percentage points: 46 percent now, up from 26 percent in May. And while Trump is up two points from July the average of surveys over the past few months clearly shows why that may not exactly be good news for his campaign.