Korea leaves interest rate at record low
“The meeting minutes also showed an unchanged 8:1 vote distribution, with one sole vote in favour of a rate hike, the same outcome as that since August”. “The price of oil had fallen markedly again, increasing the likelihood that headline inflation rates would remain subdued, and nominal-wage growth had leveled off”.
“I, personally, am ready” to raise interest rates at the Fed’s next policy meeting December 15 and 16, Mr. Lockhart said in an interview on CNBC.
The Monetary Policy Committee kept its main policy rate and the size of its asset purchase facility unchanged at 0.50% and £375bn, respectively, as economists had expected.
Now that Fed officials have made clear they are comfortable the employment part of their dual mandate is met, the pace of future rate increases will depend on confirmation that inflation, which is set to rise, actually is rising. “Our pound outlook remains slightly bearish, due to the increased risks of seeing more rate disappointment”. “With less downward pressure on inflation from these factors and some upward pressure from a further tightening in USA labor and product markets, I expect inflation to move up to the FOMC’s 2% objective over the next few years”.
A senior executive with the International Monetary Fund has said next year would be a proper time for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The bank said that inflation was unlikely to rise to 1% until the second half of next year.
The market volatility in the last month has been driven by the disconnect between central bank communications and market reactions.
Scott Bowman, a United Kingdom economist at Capital Economics, said the market has gone too far in pushing back the first rate hike to early 2017. He said the risks to domestic cost growth to the upside, and were sufficient to justify an immediate increase in Bank rate.
“Raising rates this year will, in my view, serve to reduce monetary policy uncertainty and to keep the economy on track for sustained growth with price stability”, Mr Harker was reported as saying.
In more recent speeches, Janet Yellen, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve sketched quite the positive portrait of the country’s economy saying that job numbers were quite firm and that consumer sentiments were strong.
Mr Saunders said: “There is not even a hint that any of the majority are close to joining Mr McCafferty in voting for a hike”. Those forecasts are lower than the central bank’s projections in its September inflation report, at 3.2 percent and 2.5 percent.