Met office: strongest El Nino since 1950 on the way

The scientists confirm that in 2015 the Earth’s average surface temperature is running at record levels.

This United Nations climate pact focuses on stopping global temperatures to rise to more than 2 degrees Celsius after pre-industrial levels since scientists believe that this is crucial to prevent more natural disasters such as rising seas, floods, storms and droughts from happening due to the effects of climate change. Experts said this year and the next could be the hottest on record globally.

New research suggests that the Earth’s climate system will undergo a radical shift, as we witness one of the strongest El Nino events in the past century.

The predictions are in keeping with the Met office’s forecast in 2014, the hottest on record, of temperatures looking set to increase.

They contend it could be on the size of an El Nino occasion in 1998, which helped commute worldwide temperatures to record highs.

Meanwhile, warming sea surface temperatures along the North American west coast point to a reversal of another natural pattern called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. At this moment, the Met Office report is saying that it seems that the pause in increasing air temperatures has ended and the rate of global warming will speed up in the future.

Professor Rowan Sutton, from the University of Reading, said this type of weather phenomenon is “caused by greenhouse gases”.

Sutton emphasises that this does not mean the current is about to shut down entirely – as in the apocalyptic film The Day After Tomorrow. In its place, as a result of natural climate cycles, more of the captured heat was stored in the oceans. In climatological jargon, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation appears to be switching from a warm, positive phase to a cold, negative phase.

But it also depicts that summers in Europe might get cooler for some time while the rest of the globe hots up.

The event occurs when the waters of the Pacific become exceptionally warm and distort weather patterns around the world.

But this is far from certain, Scaife says, because there are so many competing influences, such as the positive PDO that might outweigh the effects of a negative Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Hold on to your hat.