Monmouth Poll: Bush Jumps 9 Points in New Hamsphire

The Siena poll of 930 NY voters, conducted over four days last week, was released two months before NY holds its presidential primary election, on April 19.

The stage was set for the vote on Tuesday, with NY billionaire Trump enjoying a big lead in opinion polls of the state’s Republican voters and a host of rivals jockeying to emerge as his chief challenger for the Republican presidential nomination in the November 8 election.

Donald Trump has the support of 34% of New York Republicans, while Florida Sen.

Part of the reason for so many polls right before the New Hampshire primary is that the state is known for its volatility. Sanders is the only other presidential candidate whose overall favorable rating, 51 percent, was greater than his unfavorable. The next highest were Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio at 16 percent. Bernie Sanders for the Democratic nod 55 percent to 34 percent.

View the full poll results here.

Siena polled 935 voters in the state between January 31 and February 3, including 434 Democrats and 235 Republicans. “For upstate Republicans, this is a barnburner with Trump at 24 percent, followed by Cruz with 20 percent, (New Jersey Gov. Chris) Christie at 18 percent and Rubio with 17 percent”.

“The response from New Hampshire voters, TV pundits and even our critics has been overwhelmingly positive”, strategist Mike DuHaime wrote in an email solicitation. Thirty-one percent said they had a “strong preference” but were open to changing their minds.

A snowstorm swept across the state but it did not slow down the last, tense full day of campaigning ahead of the primary. She is tied with voters under 50, but has a strong lead with older voters.

Sixty percent of likely voters said they were completely devoted to their candidate choice. The poll regarding Democratic candidates questioned 321 respondents and has a margin of error of 5.47 percent. In that age group, Clinton leads 53 percent to 39 percent.

The Siena poll asked respondents, regardless of who they support, who they thought would actually win the presidency. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.