Polls: Trump takes lead over Clinton

What’s more, advisors argued Clinton’s understanding of key issues including voting rights and criminal justice reform would give Clinton a boost among black voters.

Trump is also in the lead by three points on Clinton in the same poll when just the two candidates are pitted against each other, according to Real Clear Politics. There’s not yet enough evidence to come to firm conclusions about the size of Trump’s convention bounce, but the initial data suggests that a small-to-medium bounce is more likely than a large one.

In a two-way match up, Trump had the support of 48% of surveyed voters, compared to 45% who preferred Clinton.

The dark portrait of America that Donald J. Trump sketched in his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention is a compendium of doomsday stats that fall apart upon close scrutiny.

Most registered voters say they have made up their minds about who to support with 94 percent of Clinton voters saying their choice is set and 90 percent of Trump voters saying their minds are made up about him.

CNN says there hasn’t been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN’s polling since 2000.

“I remember I had one of the first Blackberries, and the first message I got (after the decision) was from Gore: ‘Do not trash the Supreme Court,”‘ Lehane said. Breaking from tradition, Clinton also held campaign events during her rival’s convention.

In case you were wondering how long the audience clapped for Donald Trump during his Republican National Convention speech, look no further. “If something was wrong the Federal Bureau of Investigation would have found it. They didn’t find anything”, the pro-Clinton voter said.

Much attention was drawn to the convention’s speakers, including members of the Trump family, Melania, Donald Jr., and Ivanka Trump. Now, 67 percent of voters have that view. He’s increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). There is slim to zero chance Mrs. Clinton will win in the fall if those numbers do not climb significantly higher.

In mentioning the importance of family, Pence sees parallels between his devotion to his own and his running mate’s children successes: “As we say back at home, you can’t fake good kids”, he said. If you have technical questions about how our models work, I’d encourage you to read our methodology primer.

The former secretary of state appeared to attribute some of that support to her gender, noting that her role as the first female presidential nominee of a major political party “takes a little getting used to even for me”. Another 20% think they need more information.