Tillerson in China to Discuss North Korea
He said 20 years of USA diplomatic and other efforts to get North Korea to denuclearize have failed, but gave no specifics about how the Trump administration, which is now doing a policy review, would tackle the issue.
Unless Tillerson has a lot of rabbits in his hat, it can’t be done.
“As a practical matter I don’t see the administration deciding to preemptively strike North Korea’s capabilities”, Asia expert and former White House official, Mike Green of Washington’s Center for Strategic and International Studies said this week.
“Several of our members have traveled commercially to meet Secretary Tillerson on the ground in Asia”, the statement said.
The Korean Peninsula is the site of a tremendous amount of upheaval.
The US and South Korean intelligence communities believe that North Korea has 10-16 nuclear weapons and more than 1,000 ballistic missiles, making it practically impossible to disable the North Korean threat militarily without inflicting serious damage on the US and its allies.
“There is too much dissent between the two sides pertaining, in particular, to the South China Sea, THAAD and bilateral trade, something that should prompt them to try to reach a compromise”.
Tillerson, a former Exxon oil executive who until this week had adopted a low profile in office, said in Seoul on Friday that the United States and its allies were “exploring a new range of diplomatic, security, economic measures”.
That was a good start. For eight years in the Obama administration and eight years in the Bush administration, they were expecting that to happen. Rex’s first trip to Tokyo was intended “to exchange views on a new approach”.
And the most important experience we have learned is that only when the legitimate concerns of all parties are addressed in a synchronized and reciprocal fashion could we secure genuine progress in the talks. Last year, the North conducted two nuclear test explosions and 24 ballistic missile tests.
The amount of pressure that the Trump administration may place on China could distinguish its approach from previous administrations.
Abe is a nationalist hawk of the old school, let’s not forget.
In China, the row has led to a freeze of South Korean television dramas and music, and product boycotts. It will be Japan’s biggest naval deployment since 1945.
Such executive agreements, subject to the whims of the particular president in power in any of the countries involved, are imperfect tools for détente, as continuing U.S.
As part of a show of standing up to North Korea, the United States is in the midst of installing a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or THAAD, missile shield. Elections are now due in May, and the opposition Democrats are ascendant. But such secondary sanctions have not been tried in a more significant way when it comes to North Korea. Moon’s the clear favorite in the polls, with support hovering between 30 percent and 36 percent.
Before stepping down from ExxonMobil in December, Tillerson also oversaw plans for a joint $10 billion natural gas project between the company and the government of Vietnam that was inked in January.
“We’re not sure if we can get ahead of them”, he answered.
In 1985 North Korea signed the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, along with what is now 190 countries.
U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley has rejected calls by China’s foreign minister to restart multilateral talks with North Korea, which has launched a series of missile tests in recent weeks.
Tillerson says he willingly accepts the “challenge”. That looks like another tough assignment for three reasons. Beijing believes that the THAAD system’s radar capabilities extend into Northeastern China enabling the USA to approximate the location and number of nuclear and non-nuclear missiles with the effect of eliminating their deterrence capabilities. He called for the resumption of the long-suspended six-party denuclearization talks.