Trump leads Clinton in new national poll

When respondents were given the option of voting for Trump, Clinton, libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein, Trump led the polls with 44 percent of respondents’ support. The post-convention bounce gives the media a horse race to hype, but the reality is that the next will chance to shift the polls won’t come until the first presidential debate. Both Democrat Al Gore and Republican George W. Bush received an 8-point bump in the polls following their conventions. This is a 12% increase from pre-convention polls, which showed Trump with 31% of independents inclined to support him. The Huffington Post’s aggregator, as of this morning, with the new polls included, shows Clinton ahead by about half a percentage point, 42.4% to 41.7%.

The poll also reflected a sharpening of the education divide among whites that had been prevalent throughout the campaign.

That latter finding represents a six-point convention bounce for Trump, which were traditionally measured in two-way matchups, CNN reported on Monday.

Trump’s campaign team issued an apology over plagiarism in the speech delivered by his wife, Melania, at the convention.

But Clinton aides also know that the first female president and commander in chief could raise questions for veterans, many of whom served in combat without women in leadership positions.

The polls are also a good reminder of the rest of the world, especially in foreign capitals where Brexit was seen as an extremely unlikely outcome: A Trump Presidency is a real, serious and scary possibility.

Clinton’s ratings on these same measures took a hit, though in most cases her drop-off was not quite as large as Trump’s gain. “And Clinton will probably get her own bounce after her nomination is made official in Philadelphia”.

Jeff Hays, chairman of the El Paso County Republican Party, said he was thrilled Trump is coming.

Independents are not the only voters impressed by the overall RNC.

Two weeks ago, I published a warning of sorts: “Don’t be shocked if Trump’s narrow deficit turns into a narrow advantage after the Republican National Convention”. Further, 45 per cent continue to say they did prefer someone other than Trump as the nominee. About the same number of non-Trump GOP primary supporters say they aren’t backing Trump. Obviously, I think they are starting to become more clear.

The polls were conducted after Trump was officially named the Republican nominee for president at the party’s convention in Cleveland last week.

The Trump campaign has claimed the visceral negative reaction to Cruz reflected the unity the party feels behind Trump himself. Before Pence spoke at the convention, seven in 10 Republican voters didn’t have an opinion of him, but now 44 percent view him favorably, while just 3 percent view him unfavorably.