Why voters in Iowa are leaning towards Donald Trump
Although 43 percent of respondents say they support Trump, only 36 percent say he’s qualified to serve.
With a combined 37 electoral votes hanging in the balance in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire, Democrats Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine and Republicans Donald Trump and Mike Pence are highly competitive among likely voters in each state including voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate.
The set of thirteen battleground states, as a whole, shows a one-point Clinton lead (it was two last week).
But the poll causing the most aggravating headache for Brooklyn this morning might be the new Bloomberg poll out of OH – which has Trump leading Clinton by 5-points, 48% to 43%.
Multiple recent polls have shown a closer fight between Clinton and Trump at both the national and state levels – most before Mrs. Clinton’s harsh characterization of Trump voters as “deplorables”.
Green Party candidate Jill Stein polled at zero, UtahPolicy.com said.
“I’m hoping it’s just a little bump in the road”, Mike Blisko of Levittown said of Mrs Clinton’s recent woes.
In a two-way matchup, Clinton is leading Trump with likely voters nationwide 48% to 43%. But few believe either third-party candidate will pull as much support as they’re now getting in the polls on Election Day, potentially adding to Clinton’s total. When Clinton was fundraising in Hollywood, The Hamptons and Martha’s Vineyard, Trump visited flood-stricken Louisiana and met with Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto in Mexico City, where he was treated as, and acted like, a serious national leader. “That’s no mean feat as clouds of distrust loom over both campaigns”. (No caucusing, no party-registration requirements, everybody knows when Election Day is, etc.) Past celebrity candidates like Jesse Ventura and Arnold Schwarzenegger probably benefited from disaffected, usually apolitical voters coming out for them, and there’s no reason to assume it couldn’t happen to some extent for Trump. Voters focused on education vote overwhelmingly for Clinton.
Clinton’s camp has already been out saying that she will be back on the campaign trail in the next day or two and she will no doubt be patched up, ready to go and have all the medical backup she requires to ensure that she can perform to the best of her ability.
And while the GOP nominee is running competitively in Florida and Ohio, Trump must also win Pennsylvania, which looks like a steep climb.
Trump has denied there is significant violence at his events and has blamed the media for exaggerating scuffles with protesters. Voters focused on immigration and terrorism vote overwhelmingly for Trump. The Senate race results have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. That poll was conducted last weekend by Selzer & Co. and sponsored by Bloomberg Politics.
Trump also saw a significant improvement in his support among those earning more than $75,000 a year.
For most in these states, that fight against terror involves, at least in part, using military power against terrorists whenever possible – 94 percent say so, including 60 percent who’d like it to play a major part.
Clinton will have the money and ground game advantage over Trump in 2016, potentially setting her up to match Obama’s showing. “That’s the wild card”.